I didn't have time to post these before Saturday morning, but I did send Wood a text with my picks. Here's a brief recap heading into Week 5 (as always, these are game time lines):
Toledo (+2.5) over SYRACUSE - Toledo burned me in Week 2, and I loved them receiving points against an Orange squad that was coming off a couple of shaky performances. Unfortunately, the Big East officials called an obvious extra point miss good for Syracuse late in the 4th and they prevailed in overtime 33-30, covering by the skin of their teeth. The lesson: avoid favoring teams that burned you just for the sake of it.
Eastern Michigan (+29) over PENN STATE - As always, Penn State consistently gets overvalued by Vegas to take advantage of their overzealous fan base. Despite playing one of the least successful programs in the FBS, betting against the Nits still pays huge dividends, as it did here with a 34-6 result. The lesson here: ride betting against Penn State for the remainder of the Paterno era.
Louisiana State University (-5.5) over WEST VIRGINIA - I LOVE LSU this year. In fact, I think they're a team destined to play for a National Championship. They had the balls to schedule two tough out of conference games in addition to their packed SEC slate and look all the better for doing so. Their defense rivals the 2003 Ohio State and 2009 Alabama defenses as the best I've ever witnessed. It came as no surprise to me that they easily dealt with the one dimensional Dana Holgerson Mountaineer offense. The lesson: the decisively better team should win road games.
Week 3: 1-2
Week 4: 2-1
Season: 8-4
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